Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 159.005666 186.498716 219.394768 262.277680 317.652005 388.125922 4.869561e+02
2025-02-23 123.179479 156.054482 200.087968 265.601062 364.854636 517.735871 7.903672e+02
2025-03-02 105.377711 140.144746 190.247106 271.884928 411.045936 661.002066 1.215212e+03
2025-03-09 92.748674 127.845898 181.287327 274.810242 450.594060 812.657033 1.809677e+03
2025-03-16 81.405910 115.099822 168.482376 267.003099 466.795302 927.647431 2.476176e+03
2025-03-23 75.894147 110.274901 167.150824 278.560372 525.428618 1180.854736 4.090419e+03
2025-03-30 67.917520 100.288540 155.240900 266.882761 528.586967 1292.353639 5.482802e+03
2025-04-06 63.334944 95.290685 151.207466 269.883741 568.107427 1552.663977 8.950145e+03
2025-04-13 58.898030 89.975796 145.726506 268.464265 596.015309 1806.803177 1.456910e+04
2025-04-20 56.992643 88.814355 147.803926 284.243521 680.261458 2413.821079 3.708633e+04
2025-04-27 56.211100 89.532254 153.597551 310.373673 813.470715 3564.278699 2.092783e+05
2025-05-04 52.890279 85.191335 148.478897 308.038600 849.092807 4229.241934 1.095352e+06
2025-05-11 50.037211 81.819263 145.705133 313.543042 929.254957 5658.530265 NaN
2025-05-18 47.308388 78.458458 142.610579 317.988090 1014.263058 7750.432560 NaN
2025-05-25 45.136199 75.926761 140.916218 326.047864 1126.343145 11382.980776 NaN
2025-06-01 42.926222 73.074613 138.045193 329.809287 1224.545364 16537.008481 NaN
2025-06-08 40.168152 68.843357 131.376922 319.780173 1239.803176 20347.738401 NaN
2025-06-15 39.010720 67.800037 132.151317 334.636817 1427.143194 38735.264501 NaN
2025-06-22 36.473446 63.640342 124.791554 319.625811 1402.438968 45346.259774 NaN
2025-06-29 35.059623 61.750484 122.845773 323.477343 1523.565540 81656.031025 NaN
2025-07-06 33.511814 59.444790 119.566606 321.655024 1603.282167 141858.497088 NaN
2025-07-13 32.993383 59.323892 121.881809 341.965085 1914.925392 801293.258478 NaN
2025-07-20 32.933387 60.203319 126.980081 375.847035 2467.102507 NaN NaN